Risk Management in the Revitalization of the Radioisotope and Radiopharmaceutical Technology Facility: FTA and HAZOP Methods for Risk Identification and Monte Carlo Simulation for Contingency Cost Estimation

5 Nov 2025, 09:30
15m
60/Ground-104 - Lecture Hall (Administration Building)

60/Ground-104 - Lecture Hall

Administration Building

80
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Extended Abstract Safety and Severe Accidents

Description

The revitalization of the Radioisotope and Radiopharmaceutical Technology Facility (ITRR) is a critical step toward strengthening the domestic production of radioisotopes in Indonesia. Previously operated by the Indonesian Nuclear Industry (INUKI), the facility has been transferred to the National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN) for rehabilitation following years of inactivity and contamination. This study implements a structured risk management framework based on ISO 31000:2018 and SNI 8615:2018 to identify and assess risks associated with the revitalization process. Radiological impacts are assessed based on IAEA Safety Report Series No. 77, while non-radiological risks are evaluated using national standard SB 006-1-BATAN:2019. Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) identifies eight primary risk causes, while the Hazard and Operability Study (HAZOP) reveals 18 detailed risks across operational domains. Each identified risk is addressed with a corresponding safety measure to mitigate its impact.
To support decision-making for cost planning, Monte Carlo Simulation is applied to estimate contingency costs related to decontamination, dismantling, and supporting facility maintenance. Using Oracle Crystal Ball, the simulation produces a mean contingency cost of IDR 21.7 billion, with a 90th percentile maximum of IDR 23.6 billion. These figures correspond to 5.04%–14.10% of the initial revitalization budget, providing a robust financial buffer against identified risks. This integrated approach demonstrates the value of combining qualitative and quantitative risk assessment tools to enhance project safety and financial predictability. The methodology and findings offer a replicable model for similar nuclear facility revitalization projects and reinforce the importance of proactive risk management in achieving sustainable outcomes in the nuclear energy sector.

Technical Track Safety and Severe Accidents

Primary authors

Mr Dika Bhakti Praja (Polytechnic Institute of Nuclear Technology, Yogyakarta 55281, Indonesia) Dr Hendra Adhi Pratama (National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN), South Tangerang, 15314, Indonesia) Mr Moh. Cecep Cepi Hikmat (National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN), South Tangerang, 15314, Indonesia) Mr Zulfiyandi Zulfiyandi (National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN), South Tangerang, 15314, Indonesia) Mr Agung Satriyo (National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN), South Tangerang, 15314, Indonesia) Mr Suryantoro Suryantoro (National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN), South Tangerang, 15314, Indonesia) Mrs Arie Budiyanti (National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN), South Tangerang, 15314, Indonesia) Mr Alzero Fakih Anugrah (National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN), South Tangerang, 15314, Indonesia) Mr Tajudin Noor (National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN), South Tangerang, 15314, Indonesia) Supriyadi Supriyadi (School of Environmental Science, University of Indonesia, Jakarta, 10430, Indonesia) Muhammad Yusuf (Industrial Nuclear Energy (I) - IRC - General)

Presentation materials